Primera Division · Matchday 4 · RCDE Stadium
Espanyol vs Sevilla FC prediction
Best picks
Espanyol or Sevilla FC
Over 1.5 goals
BTTS: Yes
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
1 Espanyol@ 2.30
Model +6 vs market
X Draw@ 3.20
Model −4 vs market
2 Sevilla FC@ 3.20
Model −1 vs market
Market bars are the fair probabilities implied by the odds (bookmaker margin removed); differences are percentage points. A higher model number is our model's opinion, not guaranteed value. Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-09-04. Informational only, not betting advice.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins75%
Espanyol or draw72%
Draw or Sevilla FC53%
Goal lines
Over 1.574%
Over 2.549%
Over 3.527%
Under: 1.5 26% · 2.5 51% · 3.5 73%
Both teams to score
Yes52%
No48%
Most likely score
1–1at 12%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Espanyol | Sevilla FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 12th | Position | 6th |
| 3 | Points | 6 |
| 1.7 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 16th | Attack rank | 12th |
| 14th | Defence rank | 18th |
| 1465 | Elo | 1470 |
| €122m | Squad value | €165m |
| 7 | Form pts (last 5) | 6 |
Longer bars are better within the Primera Division this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 8
Recent form · last 10
Espanyol11 / 30 pts
- L
Real Sociedad2–1Espanyol - LEspanyol1–2Real Madrid
- WEspanyol3–0Levante
- DEspanyol1–1Real Sociedad
- W
Osasuna1–2Espanyol - WEspanyol2–0Athletic
- LSevilla FC2–1Espanyol
- LEspanyol0–2Real Madrid
- DEspanyol0–0Levante
- L
Rayo Vallecano1–0Espanyol
Sevilla FC15 / 30 pts
- LSevilla FC1–3Atlético Madrid
- WAthletic1–3Sevilla FC
- WSevilla FC2–1Rayo Vallecano
- L
Celta1–0Sevilla FC - LSevilla FC0–1Real Madrid
- W
Villarreal2–3Sevilla FC - WSevilla FC2–1Espanyol
- WSevilla FC1–0Real Sociedad
- LOsasuna2–1Sevilla FC
- LLevante2–0Sevilla FC
Primera Division standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barça | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 4 |  Alavés | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Osasuna | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 | Sevilla FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 7 |  Real Betis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 |  Deportivo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 9 |  Santander | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Levante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Athletic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Villarreal | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Celta | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 |  Valencia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 |  Elche | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
Model verdict
Espanyol are narrow favourites at 47% — this one is far from decided. Espanyol arrive with 3 wins, 2 draws, 5 defeats from their last 10. For Sevilla FC it reads 5 wins, 5 defeats over the last 10. At home Espanyol have won 2 of their last 6; Sevilla FC have taken 6 of 15 points on their travels. The last 8 head-to-heads: 1 Espanyol wins, 2 draws, 5 for Sevilla FC. The fixture has produced 3.0 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 6 of the last 8. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 49%. The market reads it differently: bookmakers imply 41% for Espanyol against our 47% — the model-vs-market table below breaks the gap down.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Espanyol vs Sevilla FC?
Our model's most likely outcome is Espanyol win, with probabilities of 47% for a Espanyol win, 25% for a draw and 28% for an Sevilla FC win.
Will both teams score in Espanyol vs Sevilla FC?
The model puts both teams scoring at 52% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Espanyol vs Sevilla FC?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Espanyol or draw 72%, draw or Sevilla FC 53%, and either side to win 75%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Espanyol vs Sevilla FC kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-06 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Espanyol vs Sevilla FC being played?
The match is scheduled for RCDE Stadium, the home ground of Espanyol.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.