Espanyolvs
Real Madrid
Our prediction
Real Madrid winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
51% Over · 49% Under
Both teams to score
53% Yes · 47% No
Team comparison
| Espanyol | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 2nd | Position | 15th |
| 3 | Points | 0 |
| 3.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 18th | Attack rank | 2nd |
| 15th | Defence rank | 1st |
| 1477 | Elo | 1775 |
| 10 | Form pts (last 5) | 12 |
Longer bars are better within the Primera Division this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
EspanyolWDWWL
Real MadridWWWLW
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-03Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid
- 2025-09-20Real Madrid 2–0 Espanyol
- 2025-02-01Espanyol 1–0 Real Madrid
- 2024-09-21Real Madrid 4–1 Espanyol
- 2023-03-11Real Madrid 3–1 Espanyol
Match analysis
A close call: Real Madrid edge it at 49%, with plenty of draw risk at 24%.
Espanyol arrive with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat from their last 5.
For Real Madrid it reads 4 wins, 1 defeat over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 1 Espanyol wins, 0 draws, 4 for Real Madrid.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 51%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Espanyol vs Real Madrid?
Our model's most likely outcome is Real Madrid win, with probabilities of 27% for a Espanyol win, 24% for a draw and 49% for an Real Madrid win.
Will both teams score in Espanyol vs Real Madrid?
The model puts both teams scoring at 53% — more likely than not.
When does Espanyol vs Real Madrid kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 19:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
