Real Madridvs
Real Sociedad
Our prediction
Real Madrid winHigh confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
62% Over · 38% Under
Both teams to score
54% Yes · 46% No
Team comparison
| Real Madrid | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| 15th | Position | 11th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 2nd | Attack rank | 7th |
| 1st | Defence rank | 17th |
| 1775 | Elo | 1507 |
| 12 | Form pts (last 5) | 3 |
Longer bars are better within the Primera Division this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Real MadridWWWLW
Real SociedadDLDDL
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-14Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad
- 2025-09-13Real Sociedad 1–2 Real Madrid
- 2025-05-24Real Madrid 2–0 Real Sociedad
- 2024-09-14Real Sociedad 0–2 Real Madrid
- 2024-04-26Real Sociedad 0–1 Real Madrid
Match analysis
Our model makes Real Madrid clear favourites at 67%.
Recent form for Real Madrid: 4 wins, 1 defeat across the last 5.
Real Sociedad bring 3 draws, 2 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 5 Real Madrid wins, 0 draws, 0 for Real Sociedad.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 62%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
Our model's most likely outcome is Real Madrid win, with probabilities of 67% for a Real Madrid win, 18% for a draw and 14% for an Real Sociedad win.
Will both teams score in Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
The model puts both teams scoring at 54% — more likely than not.
When does Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-26 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
