Sevilla FCvs
Atlético Madrid
Our prediction
Atlético Madrid winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
51% Over · 49% Under
Both teams to score
55% Yes · 45% No
Team comparison
| Sevilla FC | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 3rd | Position | 8th |
| 3 | Points | 0 |
| 2.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 15th | Attack rank | 4th |
| 18th | Defence rank | 4th |
| 1460 | Elo | 1645 |
| 9 | Form pts (last 5) | 9 |
Longer bars are better within the Primera Division this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Sevilla FCWLLWW
Atlético MadridLWWLW
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-11Sevilla FC 2–1 Atlético Madrid
- 2025-11-01Atlético Madrid 3–0 Sevilla FC
- 2025-04-06Sevilla FC 1–2 Atlético Madrid
- 2024-12-08Atlético Madrid 4–3 Sevilla FC
- 2024-02-11Sevilla FC 1–0 Atlético Madrid
Match analysis
The model gives Atlético Madrid a slim edge at 42% in a tight matchup.
Sevilla FC arrive with 3 wins, 2 defeats from their last 5.
For Atlético Madrid it reads 3 wins, 2 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 Sevilla FC wins, 0 draws, 3 for Atlético Madrid.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 51%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sevilla FC vs Atlético Madrid?
Our model's most likely outcome is Atlético Madrid win, with probabilities of 33% for a Sevilla FC win, 25% for a draw and 42% for an Atlético Madrid win.
Will both teams score in Sevilla FC vs Atlético Madrid?
The model puts both teams scoring at 55% — more likely than not.
When does Sevilla FC vs Atlético Madrid kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 19:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
