Athleticvs
Sevilla FC
Our prediction
Athletic winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
48% Over · 52% Under
Both teams to score
50% Yes · 50% No
Team comparison
| Athletic | Sevilla FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 12th | Position | 3rd |
| 0 | Points | 3 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 12th | Attack rank | 15th |
| 7th | Defence rank | 18th |
| 1512 | Elo | 1460 |
| 4 | Form pts (last 5) | 9 |
Longer bars are better within the Primera Division this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
AthleticLDLLW
Sevilla FCWLLWW
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-24Sevilla FC 2–1 Athletic
- 2025-08-17Athletic 3–2 Sevilla FC
- 2025-03-16Sevilla FC 0–1 Athletic
- 2024-09-29Athletic 1–1 Sevilla FC
- 2024-05-19Athletic 2–0 Sevilla FC
Match analysis
Our model makes Athletic clear favourites at 51%.
Athletic arrive with 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats from their last 5.
For Sevilla FC it reads 3 wins, 2 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 3 Athletic wins, 1 draws, 1 for Sevilla FC.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 48%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Athletic vs Sevilla FC?
Our model's most likely outcome is Athletic win, with probabilities of 51% for a Athletic win, 25% for a draw and 25% for an Sevilla FC win.
Will both teams score in Athletic vs Sevilla FC?
The model puts both teams scoring at 50% — more likely than not.
When does Athletic vs Sevilla FC kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 15:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
