Primera Division · Matchday 3 · Camp Nou
Barça vs Rayo Vallecano prediction result
How our call did
Our pre-match call was Barça win — the match finished Barça 5–2 Rayo Vallecano.✓ Hit
Pre-match picks, graded
Barça win
✓ HitOver 2.5 goals
✓ HitBTTS: No
✗ MissEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Barça or draw89%
Either side wins83%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano28%
Goal lines
Over 1.581%
Over 2.560%
Over 3.537%
Under: 1.5 19% · 2.5 40% · 3.5 63%
Both teams to score
Yes48%
No52%
Most likely score
2–0at 12%actual 5–2
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Barça | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | Position | 18th |
| 9 | Points | 1 |
| 4.0 | Goals / game | 1.3 |
| 1st | Attack rank | 19th |
| 2nd | Defence rank | 5th |
| 1837 | Elo | 1522 |
| €1.17bn | Squad value | €90m |
| 9 | Form pts (last 5) | 8 |
Longer bars are better within the Primera Division this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 10
Recent form · last 10
Barça24 / 30 pts
- WBarça2–0Athletic
- W
Elche0–5Barça - L
Valencia3–1Barça - WBarça3–1Real Betis
- L
Alavés1–0Barça - WBarça2–0Real Madrid
- W
Osasuna1–2Barça - W
Getafe0–2Barça - WBarça1–0Celta
- W
Atlético Madrid1–2Barça
Rayo Vallecano16 / 30 pts
- DRayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
- L
Sevilla FC2–1Rayo Vallecano - WAlavés1–2Rayo Vallecano
- WRayo Vallecano2–0Villarreal
- DValencia1–1Rayo Vallecano
- DRayo Vallecano1–1Girona
- WGetafe0–2Rayo Vallecano
- DRayo Vallecano3–3Real Sociedad
- WRayo Vallecano1–0Espanyol
- L
Rcd Mallorca3–0Rayo Vallecano
Primera Division standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barça | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 4 | Alavés | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Osasuna | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 | Sevilla FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 7 | Real Betis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 |  Deportivo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 9 |  Santander | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |  Levante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Athletic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Getafe | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Villarreal | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Celta | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 | Valencia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 | Elche | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
Pre-match model verdict
Our model makes Barça clear favourites at 72%. Recent form for Barça: 8 wins, 2 defeats across the last 10. Rayo Vallecano bring 4 wins, 4 draws, 2 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 4 home wins in 4 for Barça, while Rayo Vallecano collected 7/15 away points in that stretch. The last 10 head-to-heads: 4 Barça wins, 3 draws, 3 for Rayo Vallecano. Those meetings averaged 1.7 goals, with both sides scoring in 4 of the 10. Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 60%.