Elchevs
Barça
Our prediction
Barça winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
62% Over · 38% Under
Both teams to score
60% Yes · 40% No
Team comparison
| Elche | Barça | |
|---|---|---|
| 7th | Position | 16th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 11th | Attack rank | 1st |
| 19th | Defence rank | 2nd |
| 1448 | Elo | 1825 |
| 5 | Form pts (last 5) | 9 |
Longer bars are better within the Primera Division this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-31Elche 1–3 Barça
- 2025-11-02Barça 3–1 Elche
- 2023-04-01Elche 0–4 Barça
- 2022-09-17Barça 3–0 Elche
- 2022-03-06Elche 1–2 Barça
Match analysis
The numbers lean firmly towards Barça: 55% on the win.
Recent form for Elche: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats across the last 5.
Barça bring 3 wins, 2 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 0 Elche wins, 0 draws, 5 for Barça.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 62%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Elche vs Barça?
Our model's most likely outcome is Barça win, with probabilities of 24% for a Elche win, 21% for a draw and 55% for an Barça win.
Will both teams score in Elche vs Barça?
The model puts both teams scoring at 60% — more likely than not.
When does Elche vs Barça kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-23 · 19:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
