Primera Division · Matchday 1 ·

DeportivovsElche

Our prediction

Deportivo winMedium confidence

Model probabilities compared with bookmaker odds
1 · DeportivoX · Draw2 · Elche
Our model50%24%26%
Market (bet365)2.30 (41%)3.00 (32%)3.50 (27%)

Bookmaker odds with fair implied probabilities (margin removed). Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-08-16. Informational only, not betting advice.

Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16

Goals markets

Over / Under 2.5

51% Over · 49% Under

Both teams to score

53% Yes · 47% No

Team comparison

Deportivo vs Elche: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
DeportivoElche
6thPosition7th
0Points0
0.0Goals / game0.0
9thAttack rank11th
11thDefence rank19th
1500Elo1448

Longer bars are better within the Primera Division this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.

Recent form

ElcheDWLDL

Match analysis

A close call: Deportivo edge it at 50%, with plenty of draw risk at 24%.

For Elche it reads 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats over the last 5.

The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 51%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Deportivo vs Elche?

Our model's most likely outcome is Deportivo win, with probabilities of 50% for a Deportivo win, 24% for a draw and 26% for an Elche win.

Will both teams score in Deportivo vs Elche?

The model puts both teams scoring at 53% — more likely than not.

When does Deportivo vs Elche kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-17 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.