Primera Division · Matchday 1 ·

CeltavsOsasuna

Our prediction

Celta winMedium confidence

Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16

Goals markets

Over / Under 2.5

50% Over · 50% Under

Both teams to score

52% Yes · 48% No

Team comparison

Celta vs Osasuna: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
CeltaOsasuna
14thPosition17th
0Points0
0.0Goals / game0.0
6thAttack rank16th
9thDefence rank10th
1544Elo1481
10Form pts (last 5)0

Longer bars are better within the Primera Division this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.

Recent form

CeltaWDLWW

OsasunaLLLLL

Head-to-head

  • 2026-02-06Celta 12 Osasuna
  • 2025-10-26Osasuna 23 Celta
  • 2025-02-21Celta 10 Osasuna
  • 2024-09-01Osasuna 32 Celta
  • 2024-02-04Osasuna 03 Celta

Match analysis

Celta go in as the model's favourite with a 51% win probability.

Celta arrive with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat from their last 5.

For Osasuna it reads 5 defeats over the last 5.

The last 5 head-to-heads: 3 Celta wins, 0 draws, 2 for Osasuna.

The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 50%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Celta vs Osasuna?

Our model's most likely outcome is Celta win, with probabilities of 51% for a Celta win, 24% for a draw and 25% for an Osasuna win.

Will both teams score in Celta vs Osasuna?

The model puts both teams scoring at 52% — more likely than not.

When does Celta vs Osasuna kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-27 · 18:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.