Celtavs
Osasuna
Our prediction
Celta winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
50% Over · 50% Under
Both teams to score
52% Yes · 48% No
Team comparison
| Osasuna | ||
|---|---|---|
| 14th | Position | 17th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 6th | Attack rank | 16th |
| 9th | Defence rank | 10th |
| 1544 | Elo | 1481 |
| 10 | Form pts (last 5) | 0 |
Longer bars are better within the Primera Division this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-06Celta 1–2 Osasuna
- 2025-10-26Osasuna 2–3 Celta
- 2025-02-21Celta 1–0 Osasuna
- 2024-09-01Osasuna 3–2 Celta
- 2024-02-04Osasuna 0–3 Celta
Match analysis
Celta go in as the model's favourite with a 51% win probability.
Celta arrive with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat from their last 5.
For Osasuna it reads 5 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 3 Celta wins, 0 draws, 2 for Osasuna.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 50%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Celta vs Osasuna?
Our model's most likely outcome is Celta win, with probabilities of 51% for a Celta win, 24% for a draw and 25% for an Osasuna win.
Will both teams score in Celta vs Osasuna?
The model puts both teams scoring at 52% — more likely than not.
When does Celta vs Osasuna kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-27 · 18:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.