Valenciavs
Celta
Our prediction
Valencia winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
49% Over · 51% Under
Both teams to score
53% Yes · 47% No
Team comparison
| Valencia | Celta | |
|---|---|---|
| 13th | Position | 14th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 14th | Attack rank | 6th |
| 13th | Defence rank | 9th |
| 1542 | Elo | 1544 |
| 10 | Form pts (last 5) | 10 |
Longer bars are better within the Primera Division this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-05Valencia 2–3 Celta
- 2026-01-03Celta 4–1 Valencia
- 2025-02-02Valencia 2–1 Celta
- 2024-08-23Celta 3–1 Valencia
- 2024-05-26Celta 2–2 Valencia
Match analysis
The model gives Valencia a slim edge at 43% in a tight matchup.
Recent form for Valencia: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat across the last 5.
Celta bring 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 1 Valencia wins, 1 draws, 3 for Celta.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 49%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Valencia vs Celta?
Our model's most likely outcome is Valencia win, with probabilities of 43% for a Valencia win, 25% for a draw and 32% for an Celta win.
Will both teams score in Valencia vs Celta?
The model puts both teams scoring at 53% — more likely than not.
When does Valencia vs Celta kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 17:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
