Primera Division · Matchday 3 ·

DeportivovsValencia

Our prediction

Deportivo winMedium confidence

Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16

Goals markets

Over / Under 2.5

48% Over · 52% Under

Both teams to score

51% Yes · 49% No

Team comparison

Deportivo vs Valencia: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
DeportivoValencia
6thPosition13th
0Points0
0.0Goals / game0.0
9thAttack rank14th
11thDefence rank13th
1500Elo1542

Longer bars are better within the Primera Division this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.

Recent form

Match analysis

Deportivo are narrow favourites at 48% — this one is far from decided.

For Valencia it reads 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat over the last 5.

The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 48%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Deportivo vs Valencia?

Our model's most likely outcome is Deportivo win, with probabilities of 48% for a Deportivo win, 25% for a draw and 27% for an Valencia win.

Will both teams score in Deportivo vs Valencia?

The model puts both teams scoring at 51% — more likely than not.

When does Deportivo vs Valencia kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-30 · 17:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.