Celtavs
Athletic
Our prediction
Celta winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
49% Over · 51% Under
Both teams to score
52% Yes · 48% No
Team comparison
| Celta | Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| 14th | Position | 12th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 6th | Attack rank | 12th |
| 9th | Defence rank | 7th |
| 1544 | Elo | 1512 |
| 10 | Form pts (last 5) | 4 |
Longer bars are better within the Primera Division this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-17Athletic 1–1 Celta
- 2025-12-14Celta 2–0 Athletic
- 2025-01-19Celta 1–2 Athletic
- 2024-09-22Athletic 3–1 Celta
- 2024-05-15Celta 2–1 Athletic
Match analysis
The model gives Celta a slim edge at 49% in a tight matchup.
Recent form for Celta: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat across the last 5.
Athletic bring 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 Celta wins, 1 draws, 2 for Athletic.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 49%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Celta vs Athletic?
Our model's most likely outcome is Celta win, with probabilities of 49% for a Celta win, 25% for a draw and 26% for an Athletic win.
Will both teams score in Celta vs Athletic?
The model puts both teams scoring at 52% — more likely than not.
When does Celta vs Athletic kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-30 · 19:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
