Primera Division · Matchday 3 ·

Real SociedadvsEspanyol

Our prediction

Real Sociedad winMedium confidence

Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16

Goals markets

Over / Under 2.5

51% Over · 49% Under

Both teams to score

53% Yes · 47% No

Team comparison

Real Sociedad vs Espanyol: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
Real SociedadEspanyol
11thPosition2nd
0Points3
0.0Goals / game3.0
7thAttack rank18th
17thDefence rank15th
1507Elo1477
3Form pts (last 5)10

Longer bars are better within the Primera Division this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.

Recent form

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-23Espanyol 11 Real Sociedad
  • 2025-08-24Real Sociedad 22 Espanyol
  • 2025-02-09Real Sociedad 21 Espanyol
  • 2024-08-24Espanyol 01 Real Sociedad
  • 2023-02-13Espanyol 23 Real Sociedad

Match analysis

Our model makes Real Sociedad clear favourites at 51%.

Recent form for Real Sociedad: 3 draws, 2 defeats across the last 5.

Espanyol bring 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat from their last 5 on the road to this one.

The last 5 head-to-heads: 3 Real Sociedad wins, 2 draws, 0 for Espanyol.

The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 51%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?

Our model's most likely outcome is Real Sociedad win, with probabilities of 51% for a Real Sociedad win, 24% for a draw and 26% for an Espanyol win.

Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?

The model puts both teams scoring at 53% — more likely than not.

When does Real Sociedad vs Espanyol kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 17:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.