Best picks
Getafe or Celta
Under 2.5 goals
BTTS: No
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins70%
Getafe or draw70%
Draw or Celta60%
Goal lines
Over 1.561%
Over 2.534%
Over 3.515%
Under: 1.5 39% · 2.5 66% · 3.5 85%
Both teams to score
Yes41%
No59%
Most likely score
1–0at 14%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Getafe | Celta | |
|---|---|---|
| 14th | Position | 16th |
| 3 | Points | 2 |
| 0.3 | Goals / game | 0.3 |
| 20th | Attack rank | 10th |
| 3rd | Defence rank | 8th |
| 1488 | Elo | 1514 |
| €88m | Squad value | €190m |
| 6 | Form pts (last 5) | 5 |
Longer bars are better within the Primera Division this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 10
Recent form · last 10
Getafe13 / 30 pts
- L
Osasuna1–0Getafe - WGetafe1–0Santander
- L
Alavés3–0Getafe - WGetafe1–0Osasuna
- L
Elche1–0Getafe - WGetafe3–1Rcd Mallorca
- D
Real Oviedo0–0Getafe - LGetafe0–2Rayo Vallecano
- LGetafe0–2Barça
- W
Real Sociedad0–1Getafe
Celta12 / 30 pts
- DReal Sociedad0–0Celta
- LCelta0–2Athletic
- LCelta1–2Osasuna
- D
Valencia0–0Celta - WCelta1–0Sevilla FC
- DAthletic1–1Celta
- LCelta2–3Levante
- W
Atlético Madrid0–1Celta - WCelta3–1Elche
- L
Villarreal2–1Celta
Primera Division standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barça | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 4 | Alavés | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Osasuna | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 | Sevilla FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 7 |  Real Betis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 |  Deportivo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 9 | Santander | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Levante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Athletic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Getafe | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Villarreal | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Celta | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 | Valencia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 | Elche | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
Model verdict
The model gives Getafe a slim edge at 40% in a tight matchup. Recent form for Getafe: 4 wins, 1 draw, 5 defeats across the last 10. Celta bring 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 3 home wins in 5 for Getafe, while Celta collected 6/15 away points in that stretch. The last 10 head-to-heads: 4 Getafe wins, 3 draws, 3 for Celta. Those meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both sides scoring in 4 of the 10. Worth noting the stalemate risk: the model has the draw at 30%. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 34%. At least one clean sheet looks plausible — BTTS Yes is only 41%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Getafe vs Celta?
Our model's most likely outcome is Getafe win, with probabilities of 40% for a Getafe win, 30% for a draw and 30% for an Celta win.
Will both teams score in Getafe vs Celta?
The model puts both teams scoring at 41% — less likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Getafe vs Celta?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Getafe or draw 70%, draw or Celta 60%, and either side to win 70%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Getafe vs Celta kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-07 · 17:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Getafe vs Celta being played?
The match is scheduled for Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, the home ground of Getafe.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.