Primeira Liga · Matchday 4 · Estádio Pina Manique
Casa Pia vs Moreirense prediction result
How our call did
Our pre-match call was Casa Pia win — the match finished Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense.✗ Miss
Pre-match picks, graded
Casa Pia or Moreirense
✓ HitUnder 2.5 goals
✓ HitBTTS: No
✓ HitEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins74%
Casa Pia or draw64%
Draw or Moreirense61%
Goal lines
Over 1.569%
Over 2.544%
Over 3.523%
Under: 1.5 31% · 2.5 56% · 3.5 78%
Both teams to score
Yes48%
No52%
Most likely score
1–1at 12%actual 0–1
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Casa Pia | Moreirense | |
|---|---|---|
| 18th | Position | 11th |
| 0 | Points | 4 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 18th | Attack rank | 15th |
| 17th | Defence rank | 11th |
| 1398 | Elo | 1486 |
| €22m | Squad value | €31m |
| 4 | Form pts (last 5) | 5 |
Longer bars are better within the Primeira Liga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 6
Recent form · last 10
Casa Pia5 / 30 pts
- L
Gil Vicente2–0Casa Pia - LCasa Pia0–7SL Benfica
- L
Marítimo1–0Casa Pia - DCasa Pia1–1Rio Ave
- W
Vitória SC0–1Casa Pia - LCasa Pia0–1Cd Tondela
- LGil Vicente2–1Casa Pia
- LCasa Pia0–1Braga
- DCasa Pia0–0Santa Clara
- L
Alverca3–1Casa Pia
Moreirense9 / 30 pts
- L
Arouca4–0Moreirense - DMoreirense2–2Braga
- DMoreirense0–0Avs Futebol Sad
- LCd Tondela2–0Moreirense
- WMoreirense3–2Amadora
- LSL Benfica4–1Moreirense
- WMoreirense1–0Estoril Praia
- D
Famalicão1–1Moreirense - LMoreirense0–1Braga
- LMoreirense0–1Arouca
Primeira Liga standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 12 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 3 | Arouca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 | SL Benfica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 7 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 | Marítimo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Amadora | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 | Braga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 |  CD Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Vitória SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Famalicão | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Alverca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 |  Académico de Viseu | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 | Estoril Praia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -11 | 0 |
Pre-match model verdict
Casa Pia are narrow favourites at 39% — this one is far from decided. Casa Pia arrive with 1 win, 2 draws, 7 defeats from their last 10. For Moreirense it reads 2 wins, 3 draws, 5 defeats over the last 10. At home Casa Pia have won 0 of their last 5; Moreirense have taken 1 of 12 points on their travels. The last 6 head-to-heads: 2 Casa Pia wins, 1 draws, 3 for Moreirense. The fixture has produced 3.3 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 5 of the last 6. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 44%.