Primeira Liga · Matchday 4 · Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga vs Vitória SC prediction result
How our call did
Our pre-match call was Braga win — the match finished Braga 1–0 Vitória SC.✓ Hit
Pre-match picks, graded
Over 1.5 goals
✗ MissBraga win
✓ HitBTTS: Yes
✗ MissEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Braga or draw79%
Either side wins79%
Draw or Vitória SC42%
Goal lines
Over 1.577%
Over 2.554%
Over 3.531%
Under: 1.5 23% · 2.5 46% · 3.5 69%
Both teams to score
Yes52%
No48%
Most likely score
1–0at 12%actual 1–0
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Braga | Vitória SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 9th | Position | 12th |
| 4 | Points | 3 |
| 1.5 | Goals / game | 0.8 |
| 4th | Attack rank | 9th |
| 5th | Defence rank | 8th |
| 1690 | Elo | 1505 |
| €179m | Squad value | €73m |
| 4 | Form pts (last 5) | 3 |
Longer bars are better within the Primeira Liga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 10
Recent form · last 10
Braga14 / 30 pts
- D
Moreirense2–2Braga - DBraga2–2Amadora
- D
SL Benfica2–2Braga - DBraga1–1Estoril Praia
- L
Santa Clara2–1Braga - W
Casa Pia0–1Braga - DBraga2–2Famalicão
- WBraga1–0Arouca
- WMoreirense0–1Braga
- LBraga1–2Porto
Vitória SC13 / 30 pts
- WVitória SC1–0CD Nacional
- L
Sporting CP3–2Vitória SC - LVitória SC0–1Arouca
- LCD Nacional2–0Vitória SC
- LVitória SC0–1Casa Pia
- LSporting CP5–1Vitória SC
- WVitória SC2–0Rio Ave
- W
Gil Vicente0–1Vitória SC - D
Avs Futebol Sad1–1Vitória SC - WVitória SC5–0Cd Tondela
Primeira Liga standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 12 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 3 | Arouca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 | SL Benfica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 7 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 |  Marítimo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Amadora | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 | Braga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 | CD Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Vitória SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Famalicão | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 |  Alverca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 |  Académico de Viseu | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 | Estoril Praia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -11 | 0 |
Pre-match model verdict
Our model makes Braga clear favourites at 58%. Recent form for Braga: 3 wins, 5 draws, 2 defeats across the last 10. Vitória SC bring 4 wins, 1 draw, 5 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 1 home win in 5 for Braga, while Vitória SC collected 4/15 away points in that stretch. The last 10 head-to-heads: 3 Braga wins, 4 draws, 3 for Vitória SC. Those meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both sides scoring in 6 of the 10. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 54%.