Vitória SCvs
CD Nacional
Date to be confirmed.This fixture is not going ahead at its originally scheduled time. Our prediction stays on record and will be settled once the match is played.
Our prediction
Vitória SC winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
45% Over · 55% Under
Both teams to score
48% Yes · 52% No
Team comparison
| Vitória SC | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 17th | Position | 4th |
| 0 | Points | 4 |
| 1.0 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 11th | Attack rank | 12th |
| 11th | Defence rank | 10th |
| 1503 | Elo | 1475 |
| 3 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Primeira Liga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Vitória SCLLLLW
CD NacionalWDWLL
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-16CD Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC
- 2026-01-02Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional
- 2025-05-03CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC
- 2024-12-23Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional
Match analysis
Vitória SC are narrow favourites at 46% — this one is far from decided.
Recent form for Vitória SC: 1 win, 4 defeats across the last 5.
CD Nacional bring 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 4 head-to-heads: 2 Vitória SC wins, 1 draws, 1 for CD Nacional.
A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 45%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Vitória SC vs CD Nacional?
Our model's most likely outcome is Vitória SC win, with probabilities of 46% for a Vitória SC win, 25% for a draw and 29% for an CD Nacional win.
Will both teams score in Vitória SC vs CD Nacional?
The model puts both teams scoring at 48% — less likely than not.
When does Vitória SC vs CD Nacional kick off?
The match is not going ahead at its originally scheduled time. We will update this page when a new kickoff is confirmed.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
