Primeira Liga · Matchday 4 · Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Famalicão vs Gil Vicente prediction result
How our call did
Our pre-match call was Famalicão win — the match finished Famalicão 0–0 Gil Vicente.✗ Miss
Pre-match picks, graded
Famalicão or Gil Vicente
✗ MissUnder 2.5 goals
✓ HitBTTS: No
✓ HitEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins73%
Famalicão or draw72%
Draw or Gil Vicente55%
Goal lines
Over 1.564%
Over 2.538%
Over 3.518%
Under: 1.5 36% · 2.5 62% · 3.5 82%
Both teams to score
Yes43%
No57%
Most likely score
1–0at 15%actual 0–0
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Famalicão | Gil Vicente | |
|---|---|---|
| 14th | Position | 6th |
| 2 | Points | 7 |
| 0.5 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 11th | Attack rank | 10th |
| 4th | Defence rank | 7th |
| 1577 | Elo | 1536 |
| €100m | Squad value | €38m |
| 5 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Primeira Liga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 10
Recent form · last 10
Famalicão12 / 30 pts
- L
Santa Clara1–0Famalicão - LFamalicão1–2Marítimo
- D
Estoril Praia1–1Famalicão - WFamalicão1–0Alverca
- D
Amadora0–0Famalicão - DFamalicão2–2SL Benfica
- WEstoril Praia0–1Famalicão
- D
Braga2–2Famalicão - DFamalicão1–1Moreirense
- D
Porto2–2Famalicão
Gil Vicente14 / 30 pts
- WGil Vicente2–0Casa Pia
- WGil Vicente1–0Rio Ave
- L
Sporting CP3–0Gil Vicente - LGil Vicente1–3Arouca
- DRio Ave0–0Gil Vicente
- WGil Vicente2–1Casa Pia
- LGil Vicente0–1Vitória SC
- D
Cd Tondela2–2Gil Vicente - WGil Vicente3–0Avs Futebol Sad
- LSanta Clara1–0Gil Vicente
Primeira Liga standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 12 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 3 | Arouca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 | SL Benfica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 7 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 | Marítimo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Amadora | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 | Braga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 |  CD Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Vitória SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Famalicão | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Alverca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 |  Académico de Viseu | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 | Estoril Praia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -11 | 0 |
Pre-match model verdict
The model gives Famalicão a slim edge at 45% in a tight matchup. Recent form for Famalicão: 2 wins, 6 draws, 2 defeats across the last 10. Gil Vicente bring 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 1 home win in 4 for Famalicão, while Gil Vicente collected 2/12 away points in that stretch. The last 10 head-to-heads: 3 Famalicão wins, 4 draws, 3 for Gil Vicente. Those meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both sides scoring in 4 of the 10. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 38%. At least one clean sheet looks plausible — BTTS Yes is only 43%.