Primeira Liga · Matchday 4 · Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
SL Benfica vs Estoril Praia prediction result
How our call did
Our pre-match call was SL Benfica win — the match finished SL Benfica 2–1 Estoril Praia.✓ Hit
Pre-match picks, graded
SL Benfica win
✓ HitOver 2.5 goals
✓ HitBTTS: Yes
✓ HitEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
SL Benfica or draw89%
Either side wins86%
Draw or Estoril Praia25%
Goal lines
Over 1.587%
Over 2.570%
Over 3.549%
Under: 1.5 13% · 2.5 30% · 3.5 51%
Both teams to score
Yes56%
No44%
Most likely score
2–0at 10%actual 2–1
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 SL Benfica | Estoril Praia | |
|---|---|---|
| 5th | Position | 17th |
| 7 | Points | 1 |
| 3.7 | Goals / game | 0.5 |
| 2nd | Attack rank | 6th |
| 2nd | Defence rank | 18th |
| 1856 | Elo | 1470 |
| €303m | Squad value | €55m |
| 9 | Form pts (last 5) | 2 |
Longer bars are better within the Primeira Liga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 10
Recent form · last 10
SL Benfica22 / 30 pts
- W
Casa Pia0–7SL Benfica - DSL Benfica2–2Académico de Viseu
- WEstoril Praia1–3SL Benfica
- DSL Benfica2–2Braga
- D
Famalicão2–2SL Benfica - WSL Benfica4–1Moreirense
- W
Sporting CP1–2SL Benfica - WSL Benfica2–0CD Nacional
- DCasa Pia1–1SL Benfica
- WSL Benfica3–0Vitória SC
Estoril Praia3 / 30 pts
- LEstoril Praia0–2Rio Ave
- LCD Nacional2–0Estoril Praia
- DEstoril Praia1–1Famalicão
- LEstoril Praia1–3SL Benfica
- D
Alverca1–1Estoril Praia - DBraga1–1Estoril Praia
- LEstoril Praia0–1Famalicão
- LMoreirense1–0Estoril Praia
- LEstoril Praia1–3Porto
- L
Arouca3–2Estoril Praia
Primeira Liga standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 12 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 3 | Arouca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 | SL Benfica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 7 |
| 6 |  Gil Vicente | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 |  Marítimo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Amadora | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 | Braga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 | CD Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Vitória SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Famalicão | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Alverca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 | Académico de Viseu | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 | Estoril Praia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -11 | 0 |
Pre-match model verdict
The numbers lean firmly towards SL Benfica: 75% on the win. SL Benfica arrive with 6 wins, 4 draws from their last 10. For Estoril Praia it reads 3 draws, 7 defeats over the last 10. At home SL Benfica have won 3 of their last 5; Estoril Praia have taken 2 of 15 points on their travels. The last 10 head-to-heads: 9 SL Benfica wins, 1 draws, 0 for Estoril Praia. The fixture has produced 3.1 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 7 of the last 10. Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 70%. The model expects both defences to be breached: BTTS Yes at 56%.