Casa Piavs
SL Benfica
Date to be confirmed.This fixture is not going ahead at its originally scheduled time. Our prediction stays on record and will be settled once the match is played.
Our prediction
SL Benfica winHigh confidence
| 1 · Casa Pia | X · Draw | 2 · SL Benfica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 21% | 62% |
| Market (bet365) | 13.00 (7%) | 5.75 (16%) | 1.22 (77%) |
Bookmaker odds with fair implied probabilities (margin removed). Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-08-16. Informational only, not betting advice.
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
53% Over · 47% Under
Both teams to score
50% Yes · 50% No
Team comparison
| Casa Pia | SL Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Position | 10th |
| 0 | Points | 1 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 18th | Attack rank | 2nd |
| 13th | Defence rank | 2nd |
| 1421 | Elo | 1849 |
| 4 | Form pts (last 5) | 9 |
Longer bars are better within the Primeira Liga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Casa PiaLDWLL
SL BenficaDWDDW
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-06Casa Pia 1–1 SL Benfica
- 2025-11-09SL Benfica 2–2 Casa Pia
- 2025-01-25Casa Pia 3–1 SL Benfica
- 2024-08-17SL Benfica 3–0 Casa Pia
- 2024-03-17Casa Pia 0–1 SL Benfica
Match analysis
The numbers lean firmly towards SL Benfica: 62% on the win.
Recent form for Casa Pia: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats across the last 5.
SL Benfica bring 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 1 Casa Pia wins, 2 draws, 2 for SL Benfica.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 53%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Casa Pia vs SL Benfica?
Our model's most likely outcome is SL Benfica win, with probabilities of 18% for a Casa Pia win, 21% for a draw and 62% for an SL Benfica win.
Will both teams score in Casa Pia vs SL Benfica?
The model puts both teams scoring at 50% — less likely than not.
When does Casa Pia vs SL Benfica kick off?
The match is not going ahead at its originally scheduled time. We will update this page when a new kickoff is confirmed.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
