Aroucavs
Moreirense
Full time
Arouca 4–0 Moreirense
Our pre-match call: Arouca win✓ hit
Pre-match prediction
Arouca winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
51% Over · 49% Under
Both teams to score
53% Yes · 47% No
Team comparison
| Arouca | Moreirense | |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | Position | 15th |
| 6 | Points | 1 |
| 2.5 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 6th | Attack rank | 13th |
| 15th | Defence rank | 14th |
| 1540 | Elo | 1476 |
| 10 | Form pts (last 5) | 5 |
Longer bars are better within the Primeira Liga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
AroucaWWWDL
MoreirenseDDLWL
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-16Arouca 4–0 Moreirense
- 2026-03-21Moreirense 0–1 Arouca
- 2025-11-02Arouca 0–2 Moreirense
- 2025-01-24Arouca 1–0 Moreirense
- 2024-08-18Moreirense 3–1 Arouca
Pre-match analysis
A close call: Arouca edge it at 47%, with plenty of draw risk at 24%.
Arouca arrive with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat from their last 5.
For Moreirense it reads 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 3 Arouca wins, 0 draws, 2 for Moreirense.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 51%.
