Premier League · Matchday 2 ·

BournemouthvsEverton

Our prediction

Bournemouth winMedium confidence

Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16

Goals markets

Over / Under 2.5

49% Over · 51% Under

Both teams to score

53% Yes · 47% No

Team comparison

Bournemouth vs Everton: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
BournemouthEverton
14thPosition9th
0Points0
0.0Goals / game0.0
17thAttack rank20th
17thDefence rank7th
1630Elo1529
9Form pts (last 5)2

Longer bars are better within the Premier League this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.

Recent form

Head-to-head

  • 2026-02-10Everton 12 Bournemouth
  • 2025-12-02Bournemouth 01 Everton
  • 2025-01-04Bournemouth 10 Everton
  • 2024-08-31Everton 23 Bournemouth
  • 2024-03-30Bournemouth 21 Everton

Match analysis

The model gives Bournemouth a slim edge at 45% in a tight matchup.

Bournemouth arrive with 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5.

For Everton it reads 2 draws, 3 defeats over the last 5.

The last 5 head-to-heads: 4 Bournemouth wins, 0 draws, 1 for Everton.

The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 49%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bournemouth vs Everton?

Our model's most likely outcome is Bournemouth win, with probabilities of 45% for a Bournemouth win, 28% for a draw and 27% for an Everton win.

Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Everton?

The model puts both teams scoring at 53% — more likely than not.

When does Bournemouth vs Everton kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 14:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.