Bournemouthvs
Everton
Our prediction
Bournemouth winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
49% Over · 51% Under
Both teams to score
53% Yes · 47% No
Team comparison
| Everton | ||
|---|---|---|
| 14th | Position | 9th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 17th | Attack rank | 20th |
| 17th | Defence rank | 7th |
| 1630 | Elo | 1529 |
| 9 | Form pts (last 5) | 2 |
Longer bars are better within the Premier League this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
BournemouthDDWWD
EvertonLLDDL
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-10Everton 1–2 Bournemouth
- 2025-12-02Bournemouth 0–1 Everton
- 2025-01-04Bournemouth 1–0 Everton
- 2024-08-31Everton 2–3 Bournemouth
- 2024-03-30Bournemouth 2–1 Everton
Match analysis
The model gives Bournemouth a slim edge at 45% in a tight matchup.
Bournemouth arrive with 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5.
For Everton it reads 2 draws, 3 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 4 Bournemouth wins, 0 draws, 1 for Everton.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 49%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bournemouth vs Everton?
Our model's most likely outcome is Bournemouth win, with probabilities of 45% for a Bournemouth win, 28% for a draw and 27% for an Everton win.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Everton?
The model puts both teams scoring at 53% — more likely than not.
When does Bournemouth vs Everton kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 14:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.