Wrexhamvs
Watford
Our prediction
Wrexham winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
53% Over · 47% Under
Both teams to score
56% Yes · 44% No
Team comparison
| Wrexham | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Position | 8th |
| 0 | Points | 3 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 4th | Attack rank | 20th |
| 21st | Defence rank | 20th |
| 1537 | Elo | 1440 |
| 7 | Form pts (last 5) | 3 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-17Watford 3–1 Wrexham
- 2025-12-13Wrexham 2–2 Watford
Match analysis
A close call: Wrexham edge it at 49%, with plenty of draw risk at 25%.
Recent form for Wrexham: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats across the last 5.
Watford bring 1 win, 4 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 53%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wrexham vs Watford?
Our model's most likely outcome is Wrexham win, with probabilities of 49% for a Wrexham win, 25% for a draw and 26% for an Watford win.
Will both teams score in Wrexham vs Watford?
The model puts both teams scoring at 56% — more likely than not.
When does Wrexham vs Watford kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 14:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
