Wrexhamvs
Birmingham
Our prediction
Wrexham winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
49% Over · 51% Under
Both teams to score
54% Yes · 46% No
Team comparison
| Wrexham | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Position | 14th |
| 0 | Points | 1 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 4th | Attack rank | 17th |
| 21st | Defence rank | 5th |
| 1537 | Elo | 1496 |
| 7 | Form pts (last 5) | 9 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
WrexhamDLWWL
BirminghamDDWWD
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-12Birmingham 2–0 Wrexham
- 2025-10-03Wrexham 1–1 Birmingham
Match analysis
The model gives Wrexham a slim edge at 44% in a tight matchup.
Wrexham arrive with 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats from their last 5.
For Birmingham it reads 2 wins, 3 draws over the last 5.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 49%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wrexham vs Birmingham?
Our model's most likely outcome is Wrexham win, with probabilities of 44% for a Wrexham win, 27% for a draw and 29% for an Birmingham win.
Will both teams score in Wrexham vs Birmingham?
The model puts both teams scoring at 54% — more likely than not.
When does Wrexham vs Birmingham kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-28 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
