Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchday 25 · Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro prediction result
How our call did
Our pre-match call was Cruzeiro win — the match finished Vasco da Gama 3–1 Cruzeiro.✗ Miss
Pre-match picks, graded
Under 3.5 goals
✗ MissVasco da Gama or Cruzeiro
✓ HitBTTS: Yes
✓ HitEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins72%
Draw or Cruzeiro65%
Vasco da Gama or draw62%
Goal lines
Over 1.573%
Over 2.548%
Over 3.526%
Under: 1.5 27% · 2.5 52% · 3.5 74%
Both teams to score
Yes53%
No47%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%actual 3–1
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Vasco da Gama | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 18th | Position | 6th |
| 25 | Points | 39 |
| 1.1 | Goals / game | 1.4 |
| 12th | Attack rank | 7th |
| 18th | Defence rank | 5th |
| 1462 | Elo | 1604 |
| €105m | Squad value | €175m |
| 2 | Form pts (last 5) | 12 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 7
Recent form · last 10
Vasco da Gama6 / 30 pts
- L
Palmeiras4–1Vasco da Gama - LVasco da Gama0–3Santos
- D
Bahia0–0Vasco da Gama - DVasco da Gama1–1Mirassol
- L
Vitória1–0Vasco da Gama - LVasco da Gama0–1Mineiro
- LVasco da Gama0–3Bragantino
- L
Internacional4–1Vasco da Gama - WVasco da Gama1–0Paranaense
- D
Flamengo2–2Vasco da Gama
Cruzeiro23 / 30 pts
- WCruzeiro2–1Flamengo
- W
Corinthians1–2Cruzeiro - WCruzeiro3–1Mirassol
- W
Coritiba0–1Cruzeiro - LCruzeiro0–1Botafogo
- WInternacional1–2Cruzeiro
- DCruzeiro1–1Fluminense
- WCruzeiro2–1Chapecoense
- DPalmeiras1–1Cruzeiro
- WBahia1–2Cruzeiro
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 |  São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 |  Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 |  Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Pre-match model verdict
The model gives Cruzeiro a slim edge at 38% in a tight matchup. Recent form for Vasco da Gama: 1 win, 3 draws, 6 defeats across the last 10. Cruzeiro bring 7 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 1 home win in 5 for Vasco da Gama, while Cruzeiro collected 13/15 away points in that stretch. The last 7 head-to-heads: 1 Vasco da Gama wins, 4 draws, 2 for Cruzeiro. Those meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both sides scoring in 3 of the 7. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 48%.