Best picks
Utrecht or Go Ahead
BTTS: Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
1 Utrecht@ 2.10
In line with the market
X Draw@ 3.75
In line with the market
2 Go Ahead@ 3.20
Model +1 vs market
Market bars are the fair probabilities implied by the odds (bookmaker margin removed); differences are percentage points. A higher model number is our model's opinion, not guaranteed value. Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-09-04. Informational only, not betting advice.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins75%
Utrecht or draw70%
Draw or Go Ahead55%
Goal lines
Over 1.584%
Over 2.563%
Over 3.541%
Under: 1.5 16% · 2.5 37% · 3.5 59%
Both teams to score
Yes65%
No35%
Most likely score
1–1at 11%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Utrecht | Go Ahead | |
|---|---|---|
| 17th | Position | 5th |
| 1 | Points | 7 |
| 1.5 | Goals / game | 2.8 |
| 8th | Attack rank | 7th |
| 7th | Defence rank | 12th |
| 1584 | Elo | 1519 |
| €81m | Squad value | €34m |
| 4 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 10
Recent form · last 10
Utrecht13 / 30 pts
Eredivisie standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  PSV | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 10 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 |  Ajax | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 |
| 5 | Go Ahead | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |  Sittard | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 |  NEC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 |  Excelsior | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Twente | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Heerenveen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Sparta | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 |  Zwolle | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 |  Telstar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 |  Willem II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 16 |  Den Haag | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 17 | Utrecht | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 1 |
| 18 |  Cambuur | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -12 | 0 |
Model verdict
A close call: Utrecht edge it at 45%, with plenty of draw risk at 25%. Utrecht arrive with 4 wins, 1 draw, 5 defeats from their last 10. For Go Ahead it reads 3 wins, 4 draws, 3 defeats over the last 10. At home Utrecht have won 3 of their last 5; Go Ahead have taken 3 of 15 points on their travels. The last 10 head-to-heads: 3 Utrecht wins, 6 draws, 1 for Go Ahead. The fixture has produced 3.0 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 7 of the last 10. Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 63%. The model expects both defences to be breached: BTTS Yes at 65%. Model and market broadly agree on Utrecht (45% vs an implied 45%).
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Utrecht vs Go Ahead?
Our model's most likely outcome is Utrecht win, with probabilities of 45% for a Utrecht win, 25% for a draw and 30% for an Go Ahead win.
Will both teams score in Utrecht vs Go Ahead?
The model puts both teams scoring at 65% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Utrecht vs Go Ahead?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Utrecht or draw 70%, draw or Go Ahead 55%, and either side to win 75%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Utrecht vs Go Ahead kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-05 · 16:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Utrecht vs Go Ahead being played?
The match is scheduled for Stadion Galgenwaard, the home ground of Utrecht.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.