Spartavs
Utrecht
Our prediction
Utrecht winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
52% Over · 48% Under
Both teams to score
57% Yes · 43% No
Team comparison
| Sparta | Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 11th | Position | 14th |
| 3 | Points | 0 |
| 1.5 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 17th | Attack rank | 8th |
| 10th | Defence rank | 6th |
| 1492 | Elo | 1595 |
| 4 | Form pts (last 5) | 9 |
Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-25Utrecht 0–1 Sparta
- 2025-08-17Sparta 2–1 Utrecht
- 2025-05-14Utrecht 1–1 Sparta
- 2024-11-03Sparta 1–4 Utrecht
- 2024-05-12Utrecht 0–1 Sparta
Match analysis
The model gives Utrecht a slim edge at 37% in a tight matchup.
Sparta arrive with 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats from their last 5.
For Utrecht it reads 3 wins, 2 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 3 Sparta wins, 1 draws, 1 for Utrecht.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 52%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sparta vs Utrecht?
Our model's most likely outcome is Utrecht win, with probabilities of 35% for a Sparta win, 28% for a draw and 37% for an Utrecht win.
Will both teams score in Sparta vs Utrecht?
The model puts both teams scoring at 57% — more likely than not.
When does Sparta vs Utrecht kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 16:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
