PSVvs
Groningen
Our prediction
PSV winHigh confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
74% Over · 26% Under
Both teams to score
64% Yes · 36% No
Team comparison
| PSV | Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| 6th | Position | 2nd |
| 4 | Points | 6 |
| 2.0 | Goals / game | 3.0 |
| 1st | Attack rank | 11th |
| 4th | Defence rank | 7th |
| 1848 | Elo | 1544 |
| 11 | Form pts (last 5) | 12 |
Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-08Groningen 1–2 PSV
- 2025-08-23PSV 4–2 Groningen
- 2025-04-05Groningen 1–3 PSV
- 2024-11-23PSV 5–0 Groningen
- 2023-02-11PSV 6–0 Groningen
Match analysis
PSV go in as the model's favourite with a 69% win probability.
Recent form for PSV: 3 wins, 2 draws across the last 5.
Groningen bring 4 wins, 1 defeat from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 5 PSV wins, 0 draws, 0 for Groningen.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 74%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win PSV vs Groningen?
Our model's most likely outcome is PSV win, with probabilities of 69% for a PSV win, 17% for a draw and 13% for an Groningen win.
Will both teams score in PSV vs Groningen?
The model puts both teams scoring at 64% — more likely than not.
When does PSV vs Groningen kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-23 · 12:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
