Heerenveenvs
Zwolle
Our prediction
Heerenveen winHigh confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
61% Over · 39% Under
Both teams to score
61% Yes · 39% No
Team comparison
| Zwolle | ||
|---|---|---|
| 8th | Position | 15th |
| 4 | Points | 0 |
| 1.5 | Goals / game | 0.5 |
| 9th | Attack rank | 15th |
| 11th | Defence rank | 16th |
| 1566 | Elo | 1442 |
| 8 | Form pts (last 5) | 3 |
Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
HeerenveenDWDLW
ZwolleLLLLW
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-15Heerenveen 4–2 Zwolle
- 2025-11-28Zwolle 2–1 Heerenveen
- 2025-02-16Zwolle 1–1 Heerenveen
- 2024-10-06Heerenveen 1–1 Zwolle
- 2024-03-03Heerenveen 2–0 Zwolle
Match analysis
The numbers lean firmly towards Heerenveen: 55% on the win.
Recent form for Heerenveen: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat across the last 5.
Zwolle bring 1 win, 4 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 Heerenveen wins, 2 draws, 1 for Zwolle.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 61%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Heerenveen vs Zwolle?
Our model's most likely outcome is Heerenveen win, with probabilities of 55% for a Heerenveen win, 24% for a draw and 21% for an Zwolle win.
Will both teams score in Heerenveen vs Zwolle?
The model puts both teams scoring at 61% — more likely than not.
When does Heerenveen vs Zwolle kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.