Eredivisie · Matchday 3 ·

HeerenveenvsZwolle

Our prediction

Heerenveen winHigh confidence

Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16

Goals markets

Over / Under 2.5

61% Over · 39% Under

Both teams to score

61% Yes · 39% No

Team comparison

Heerenveen vs Zwolle: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
HeerenveenZwolle
8thPosition15th
4Points0
1.5Goals / game0.5
9thAttack rank15th
11thDefence rank16th
1566Elo1442
8Form pts (last 5)3

Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.

Recent form

Head-to-head

  • 2026-02-15Heerenveen 42 Zwolle
  • 2025-11-28Zwolle 21 Heerenveen
  • 2025-02-16Zwolle 11 Heerenveen
  • 2024-10-06Heerenveen 11 Zwolle
  • 2024-03-03Heerenveen 20 Zwolle

Match analysis

The numbers lean firmly towards Heerenveen: 55% on the win.

Recent form for Heerenveen: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat across the last 5.

Zwolle bring 1 win, 4 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.

The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 Heerenveen wins, 2 draws, 1 for Zwolle.

Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 61%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Heerenveen vs Zwolle?

Our model's most likely outcome is Heerenveen win, with probabilities of 55% for a Heerenveen win, 24% for a draw and 21% for an Zwolle win.

Will both teams score in Heerenveen vs Zwolle?

The model puts both teams scoring at 61% — more likely than not.

When does Heerenveen vs Zwolle kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.