AZvs
Go Ahead
Our prediction
AZ winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
61% Over · 39% Under
Both teams to score
62% Yes · 38% No
Team comparison
| AZ | Go Ahead | |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | Position | 3rd |
| 6 | Points | 4 |
| 3.0 | Goals / game | 3.0 |
| 5th | Attack rank | 7th |
| 5th | Defence rank | 9th |
| 1631 | Elo | 1518 |
| 9 | Form pts (last 5) | 5 |
Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-23Go Ahead 0–0 AZ
- 2025-12-07AZ 2–2 Go Ahead
- 2025-05-04Go Ahead 0–3 AZ
- 2024-10-27AZ 2–2 Go Ahead
- 2024-05-12Go Ahead 0–3 AZ
Match analysis
The numbers lean firmly towards AZ: 51% on the win.
Recent form for AZ: 2 wins, 3 draws across the last 5.
Go Ahead bring 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 AZ wins, 3 draws, 0 for Go Ahead.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 61%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win AZ vs Go Ahead?
Our model's most likely outcome is AZ win, with probabilities of 51% for a AZ win, 24% for a draw and 24% for an Go Ahead win.
Will both teams score in AZ vs Go Ahead?
The model puts both teams scoring at 62% — more likely than not.
When does AZ vs Go Ahead kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 16:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
