Eredivisie · Matchday 3 ·

SittardvsAZ

Our prediction

AZ winLow confidence

Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16

Goals markets

Over / Under 2.5

58% Over · 42% Under

Both teams to score

61% Yes · 39% No

Team comparison

Sittard vs AZ: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
SittardAZ
4thPosition1st
4Points6
2.5Goals / game3.0
13thAttack rank5th
14thDefence rank5th
1461Elo1631
7Form pts (last 5)9

Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.

Recent form

SittardWDLWL

AZWWDDD

Head-to-head

  • 2026-04-04AZ 20 Sittard
  • 2025-12-21Sittard 43 AZ
  • 2025-02-23AZ 10 Sittard
  • 2024-10-06Sittard 10 AZ
  • 2024-02-17Sittard 12 AZ

Match analysis

AZ are narrow favourites at 42% — this one is far from decided.

Recent form for Sittard: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats across the last 5.

AZ bring 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 on the road to this one.

The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 Sittard wins, 0 draws, 3 for AZ.

Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 58%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sittard vs AZ?

Our model's most likely outcome is AZ win, with probabilities of 31% for a Sittard win, 26% for a draw and 42% for an AZ win.

Will both teams score in Sittard vs AZ?

The model puts both teams scoring at 61% — more likely than not.

When does Sittard vs AZ kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 14:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.