Sittardvs
AZ
Our prediction
AZ winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
58% Over · 42% Under
Both teams to score
61% Yes · 39% No
Team comparison
| AZ | ||
|---|---|---|
| 4th | Position | 1st |
| 4 | Points | 6 |
| 2.5 | Goals / game | 3.0 |
| 13th | Attack rank | 5th |
| 14th | Defence rank | 5th |
| 1461 | Elo | 1631 |
| 7 | Form pts (last 5) | 9 |
Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-04AZ 2–0 Sittard
- 2025-12-21Sittard 4–3 AZ
- 2025-02-23AZ 1–0 Sittard
- 2024-10-06Sittard 1–0 AZ
- 2024-02-17Sittard 1–2 AZ
Match analysis
AZ are narrow favourites at 42% — this one is far from decided.
Recent form for Sittard: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats across the last 5.
AZ bring 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 Sittard wins, 0 draws, 3 for AZ.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 58%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sittard vs AZ?
Our model's most likely outcome is AZ win, with probabilities of 31% for a Sittard win, 26% for a draw and 42% for an AZ win.
Will both teams score in Sittard vs AZ?
The model puts both teams scoring at 61% — more likely than not.
When does Sittard vs AZ kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 14:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.