Telstarvs
Ajax
Our prediction
Ajax winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
58% Over · 42% Under
Both teams to score
61% Yes · 39% No
Team comparison
| Telstar | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 13th | Position | 5th |
| 3 | Points | 4 |
| 1.5 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 10th | Attack rank | 4th |
| 13th | Defence rank | 2nd |
| 1506 | Elo | 1678 |
| 10 | Form pts (last 5) | 6 |
Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-11Telstar 2–3 Ajax
- 2025-08-10Ajax 2–0 Telstar
Match analysis
The model gives Ajax a slim edge at 42% in a tight matchup.
Telstar arrive with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat from their last 5.
For Ajax it reads 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat over the last 5.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 58%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Telstar vs Ajax?
Our model's most likely outcome is Ajax win, with probabilities of 32% for a Telstar win, 26% for a draw and 42% for an Ajax win.
Will both teams score in Telstar vs Ajax?
The model puts both teams scoring at 61% — more likely than not.
When does Telstar vs Ajax kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-30 · 14:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
