Willem IIvs
Heerenveen
Our prediction
Heerenveen winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
58% Over · 42% Under
Both teams to score
62% Yes · 38% No
Team comparison
| Willem II | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|
| 17th | Position | 8th |
| 0 | Points | 4 |
| 1.0 | Goals / game | 1.5 |
| 18th | Attack rank | 9th |
| 17th | Defence rank | 11th |
| 1336 | Elo | 1566 |
| 1 | Form pts (last 5) | 8 |
Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Willem IILLDLL
HeerenveenDWDLW
Head-to-head
- 2025-04-04Heerenveen 3–1 Willem II
- 2024-12-08Willem II 1–2 Heerenveen
- 2022-03-05Willem II 0–0 Heerenveen
- 2021-11-21Heerenveen 2–1 Willem II
Match analysis
A close call: Heerenveen edge it at 41%, with plenty of draw risk at 26%.
Willem II arrive with 1 draw, 4 defeats from their last 5.
For Heerenveen it reads 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat over the last 5.
The last 4 head-to-heads: 0 Willem II wins, 1 draws, 3 for Heerenveen.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 58%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Willem II vs Heerenveen?
Our model's most likely outcome is Heerenveen win, with probabilities of 33% for a Willem II win, 26% for a draw and 41% for an Heerenveen win.
Will both teams score in Willem II vs Heerenveen?
The model puts both teams scoring at 62% — more likely than not.
When does Willem II vs Heerenveen kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-30 · 12:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
