Utrechtvs
PSV
Our prediction
PSV winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
70% Over · 30% Under
Both teams to score
70% Yes · 30% No
Team comparison
| Utrecht | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| 14th | Position | 6th |
| 0 | Points | 4 |
| 1.0 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 8th | Attack rank | 1st |
| 6th | Defence rank | 4th |
| 1595 | Elo | 1848 |
| 9 | Form pts (last 5) | 11 |
Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-04PSV 4–3 Utrecht
- 2025-12-21Utrecht 1–2 PSV
- 2025-02-15PSV 2–2 Utrecht
- 2024-12-01Utrecht 2–5 PSV
- 2024-01-21Utrecht 1–1 PSV
Match analysis
The model gives PSV a slim edge at 49% in a tight matchup.
Recent form for Utrecht: 3 wins, 2 defeats across the last 5.
PSV bring 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 0 Utrecht wins, 2 draws, 3 for PSV.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 70%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Utrecht vs PSV?
Our model's most likely outcome is PSV win, with probabilities of 28% for a Utrecht win, 23% for a draw and 49% for an PSV win.
Will both teams score in Utrecht vs PSV?
The model puts both teams scoring at 70% — more likely than not.
When does Utrecht vs PSV kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-30 · 10:15 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
