Best picks
Over 2.5 goals
BTTS: Yes
Twente win
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Twente or draw80%
Either side wins77%
Draw or Telstar43%
Goal lines
Over 1.583%
Over 2.561%
Over 3.539%
Under: 1.5 17% · 2.5 39% · 3.5 61%
Both teams to score
Yes59%
No41%
Most likely score
1–1at 11%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Twente | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| 9th | Position | 14th |
| 6 | Points | 3 |
| 2.3 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 6th | Attack rank | 11th |
| 2nd | Defence rank | 13th |
| 1662 | Elo | 1493 |
| €84m | Squad value | €13m |
| 9 | Form pts (last 5) | 9 |
Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 2
Recent form · last 10
Twente20 / 30 pts
Eredivisie standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  PSV | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 10 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 |  Ajax | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 |
| 5 |  Go Ahead | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |  Sittard | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 |  NEC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 |  Excelsior | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 9 | Twente | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Heerenveen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Sparta | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 |  Zwolle | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Telstar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 |  Willem II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 16 |  Den Haag | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 17 |  Utrecht | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 1 |
| 18 |  Cambuur | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -12 | 0 |
Model verdict
Our model makes Twente clear favourites at 57%. Recent form for Twente: 6 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats across the last 10. Telstar bring 5 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 3 home wins in 4 for Twente, while Telstar collected 7/12 away points in that stretch. Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 61%. Both teams to score is priced Yes at 59%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Twente vs Telstar?
Our model's most likely outcome is Twente win, with probabilities of 57% for a Twente win, 23% for a draw and 20% for an Telstar win.
Will both teams score in Twente vs Telstar?
The model puts both teams scoring at 59% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Twente vs Telstar?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Twente or draw 80%, draw or Telstar 43%, and either side to win 77%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Twente vs Telstar kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-09 · 16:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Twente vs Telstar being played?
The match is scheduled for De Grolsch Veste, the home ground of Twente.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.