Best picks
Over 2.5 goals
BTTS: Yes
Telstar win
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
1 Telstar@ 1.57
Model +1 vs market
X Draw@ 4.20
Model −1 vs market
2 Cambuur@ 4.60
In line with the market
Market bars are the fair probabilities implied by the odds (bookmaker margin removed); differences are percentage points. A higher model number is our model's opinion, not guaranteed value. Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-09-04. Informational only, not betting advice.
More markets
Double chance
Telstar or draw80%
Either side wins79%
Draw or Cambuur41%
Goal lines
Over 1.589%
Over 2.571%
Over 3.549%
Under: 1.5 11% · 2.5 30% · 3.5 51%
Both teams to score
Yes67%
No33%
Most likely score
2–1at 9%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Telstar | Cambuur | |
|---|---|---|
| 14th | Position | 18th |
| 3 | Points | 0 |
| 1.0 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 11th | Attack rank | 15th |
| 13th | Defence rank | 18th |
| 1493 | Elo | 1295 |
| €13m | Squad value | €7m |
| 9 | Form pts (last 5) | 3 |
Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Recent form · last 10
Telstar16 / 30 pts
Eredivisie standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  PSV | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 10 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 |  Ajax | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 |
| 5 |  Go Ahead | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |  Sittard | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 |  NEC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 |  Excelsior | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Twente | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Heerenveen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Sparta | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 |  Zwolle | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Telstar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 |  Willem II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 16 |  Den Haag | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 17 |  Utrecht | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 1 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -12 | 0 |
Model verdict
Telstar go in as the model's favourite with a 59% win probability. Recent form for Telstar: 5 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats across the last 10. Cambuur bring 1 win, 9 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 3 home wins in 6 for Telstar, while Cambuur collected 0/12 away points in that stretch. Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 71%. Both teams to score is priced Yes at 67%. No disagreement with the bookmakers here: 59% from the model, 58% implied by the odds.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Telstar vs Cambuur?
Our model's most likely outcome is Telstar win, with probabilities of 59% for a Telstar win, 21% for a draw and 20% for an Cambuur win.
Will both teams score in Telstar vs Cambuur?
The model puts both teams scoring at 67% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Telstar vs Cambuur?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Telstar or draw 80%, draw or Cambuur 41%, and either side to win 79%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Telstar vs Cambuur kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-06 · 12:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Telstar vs Cambuur being played?
The match is scheduled for Rabobank IJmond Stadion, the home ground of Telstar.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.