Tottenhamvs
Newcastle
Our prediction
Newcastle winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
59% Over · 41% Under
Both teams to score
62% Yes · 38% No
Team comparison
| Tottenham | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| 12th | Position | 17th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 15th | Attack rank | 8th |
| 20th | Defence rank | 15th |
| 1472 | Elo | 1564 |
| 10 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Premier League this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-10Tottenham 1–2 Newcastle
- 2025-12-02Newcastle 2–2 Tottenham
- 2025-01-04Tottenham 1–2 Newcastle
- 2024-09-01Newcastle 2–1 Tottenham
- 2024-04-13Newcastle 4–0 Tottenham
Match analysis
Newcastle are narrow favourites at 37% — this one is far from decided.
Tottenham arrive with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat from their last 5.
For Newcastle it reads 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 0 Tottenham wins, 1 draws, 4 for Newcastle.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 59%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tottenham vs Newcastle?
Our model's most likely outcome is Newcastle win, with probabilities of 37% for a Tottenham win, 26% for a draw and 37% for an Newcastle win.
Will both teams score in Tottenham vs Newcastle?
The model puts both teams scoring at 62% — more likely than not.
When does Tottenham vs Newcastle kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 16:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
