Southamptonvs
Millwall
Our prediction
Southampton winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
51% Over · 49% Under
Both teams to score
54% Yes · 46% No
Team comparison
| Southampton | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| 22nd | Position | 2nd |
| 0 | Points | 3 |
| 1.0 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 1st | Attack rank | 11th |
| 8th | Defence rank | 2nd |
| 1634 | Elo | 1618 |
| 8 | Form pts (last 5) | 13 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
SouthamptonLWDDW
MillwallWWDWW
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-01Southampton 0–0 Millwall
- 2025-11-29Millwall 3–2 Southampton
- 2024-02-24Southampton 1–2 Millwall
- 2023-11-04Millwall 0–1 Southampton
Match analysis
A close call: Southampton edge it at 46%, with plenty of draw risk at 26%.
Recent form for Southampton: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat across the last 5.
Millwall bring 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 4 head-to-heads: 1 Southampton wins, 1 draws, 2 for Millwall.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 51%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Southampton vs Millwall?
Our model's most likely outcome is Southampton win, with probabilities of 46% for a Southampton win, 26% for a draw and 27% for an Millwall win.
Will both teams score in Southampton vs Millwall?
The model puts both teams scoring at 54% — more likely than not.
When does Southampton vs Millwall kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 14:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
