Millwallvs
Norwich
Our prediction
Millwall winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
46% Over · 54% Under
Both teams to score
51% Yes · 49% No
Team comparison
| Millwall | Norwich | |
|---|---|---|
| 2nd | Position | 18th |
| 3 | Points | 0 |
| 2.0 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 11th | Attack rank | 5th |
| 2nd | Defence rank | 14th |
| 1618 | Elo | 1537 |
| 13 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-06Millwall 1–2 Norwich
- 2025-08-09Norwich 1–2 Millwall
- 2025-04-21Millwall 3–1 Norwich
- 2024-12-26Norwich 2–1 Millwall
- 2023-12-29Millwall 1–0 Norwich
Match analysis
Millwall are narrow favourites at 45% — this one is far from decided.
Millwall arrive with 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5.
For Norwich it reads 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 3 Millwall wins, 0 draws, 2 for Norwich.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 46%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Millwall vs Norwich?
Our model's most likely outcome is Millwall win, with probabilities of 45% for a Millwall win, 28% for a draw and 28% for an Norwich win.
Will both teams score in Millwall vs Norwich?
The model puts both teams scoring at 51% — more likely than not.
When does Millwall vs Norwich kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 11:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
