Rio Avevs
Sporting CP
Date to be confirmed.This fixture is not going ahead at its originally scheduled time. Our prediction stays on record and will be settled once the match is played.
Our prediction
Sporting CP winHigh confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
61% Over · 39% Under
Both teams to score
54% Yes · 46% No
Team comparison
| Rio Ave | Sporting CP | |
|---|---|---|
| 18th | Position | 5th |
| 0 | Points | 4 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 2.5 |
| 15th | Attack rank | 1st |
| 16th | Defence rank | 3rd |
| 1449 | Elo | 1874 |
| 2 | Form pts (last 5) | 11 |
Longer bars are better within the Primeira Liga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Rio AveLDLDL
Sporting CPDWWWD
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-11Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting CP
- 2025-12-28Sporting CP 4–0 Rio Ave
- 2025-01-18Rio Ave 0–3 Sporting CP
- 2024-08-09Sporting CP 3–1 Rio Ave
- 2024-02-25Rio Ave 3–3 Sporting CP
Match analysis
Sporting CP go in as the model's favourite with a 67% win probability.
Recent form for Rio Ave: 2 draws, 3 defeats across the last 5.
Sporting CP bring 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 0 Rio Ave wins, 1 draws, 4 for Sporting CP.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 61%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
Our model's most likely outcome is Sporting CP win, with probabilities of 16% for a Rio Ave win, 18% for a draw and 67% for an Sporting CP win.
Will both teams score in Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
The model puts both teams scoring at 54% — more likely than not.
When does Rio Ave vs Sporting CP kick off?
The match is not going ahead at its originally scheduled time. We will update this page when a new kickoff is confirmed.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
