Sporting CPvs
Alverca
Date to be confirmed.This fixture is not going ahead at its originally scheduled time. Our prediction stays on record and will be settled once the match is played.
Our prediction
Sporting CP winHigh confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
67% Over · 33% Under
Both teams to score
51% Yes · 49% No
Team comparison
| Sporting CP | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| 5th | Position | 13th |
| 4 | Points | 1 |
| 2.5 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 1st | Attack rank | 14th |
| 3rd | Defence rank | 12th |
| 1874 | Elo | 1486 |
| 11 | Form pts (last 5) | 4 |
Longer bars are better within the Primeira Liga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Sporting CPDWWWD
AlvercaLLDLW
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-22Alverca 1–4 Sporting CP
- 2025-10-31Sporting CP 2–0 Alverca
Match analysis
The numbers lean firmly towards Sporting CP: 78% on the win.
Sporting CP arrive with 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5.
For Alverca it reads 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats over the last 5.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 67%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sporting CP vs Alverca?
Our model's most likely outcome is Sporting CP win, with probabilities of 78% for a Sporting CP win, 13% for a draw and 9% for an Alverca win.
Will both teams score in Sporting CP vs Alverca?
The model puts both teams scoring at 51% — more likely than not.
When does Sporting CP vs Alverca kick off?
The match is not going ahead at its originally scheduled time. We will update this page when a new kickoff is confirmed.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
