Best picks
Porto or Man City
BTTS: Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins78%
Draw or Man City64%
Porto or draw58%
Goal lines
Over 2.564%
Under: 2.5 36%
Both teams to score
Yes64%
No36%
Most likely score
1–1at 10%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Porto | Man City | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Form pts (last 5) | 10 |
Longer bars are better within the UEFA Champions League this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings.
Recent form · last 10
UEFA Champions League standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |  PAE AEK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |  LASK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Real Betis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Barça | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Viking | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Atlético Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 |  PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Sl. Bratislava | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 |  Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 |  Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 |  Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 |  Galatasaray | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 |  Fenerbahçe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 |  Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 |  PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 |  Shaktar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 |  Bayern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 |  Bodø/Glimt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 |  Man United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 32 |  Sabah FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 33 |  Como 1907 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 34 |  RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 35 |  Slavia Praha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 36 |  RC Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Model verdict
A close call: Man City edge it at 42%, with plenty of draw risk at 22%. Recent form for Porto: 9 wins, 1 defeat across the last 10. Man City bring 7 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 5 home wins in 5 for Porto, while Man City collected 11/15 away points in that stretch. Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 64%. Both teams to score is priced Yes at 64%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Porto vs Man City?
Our model's most likely outcome is Man City win, with probabilities of 36% for a Porto win, 22% for a draw and 42% for an Man City win.
Will both teams score in Porto vs Man City?
The model puts both teams scoring at 64% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Porto vs Man City?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Porto or draw 58%, draw or Man City 64%, and either side to win 78%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Porto vs Man City kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-08 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Porto vs Man City being played?
The match is scheduled for Estádio Do Dragão, the home ground of Porto.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.