Norwichvs
Burnley
Our prediction
Burnley winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
45% Over · 55% Under
Both teams to score
51% Yes · 49% No
Team comparison
| Norwich | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 18th | Position | 11th |
| 0 | Points | 1 |
| 1.0 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 5th | Attack rank | 3rd |
| 14th | Defence rank | 1st |
| 1537 | Elo | 1753 |
| 7 | Form pts (last 5) | 3 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2025-04-11Burnley 2–1 Norwich
- 2024-12-15Norwich 1–2 Burnley
- 2023-02-04Norwich 0–3 Burnley
- 2022-10-25Burnley 1–0 Norwich
- 2022-04-10Norwich 2–0 Burnley
Match analysis
A close call: Burnley edge it at 39%, with plenty of draw risk at 28%.
Norwich arrive with 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats from their last 5.
For Burnley it reads 3 draws, 2 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 1 Norwich wins, 0 draws, 4 for Burnley.
A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 45%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Norwich vs Burnley?
Our model's most likely outcome is Burnley win, with probabilities of 33% for a Norwich win, 28% for a draw and 39% for an Burnley win.
Will both teams score in Norwich vs Burnley?
The model puts both teams scoring at 51% — more likely than not.
When does Norwich vs Burnley kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 14:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
