Leeds Unitedvs
Brentford
Our prediction
Leeds United winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
54% Over · 46% Under
Both teams to score
59% Yes · 41% No
Team comparison
| Leeds United | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| 8th | Position | 11th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 3rd | Attack rank | 11th |
| 3rd | Defence rank | 14th |
| 1734 | Elo | 1569 |
| 8 | Form pts (last 5) | 5 |
Longer bars are better within the Premier League this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Leeds UnitedLWDWD
BrentfordDDLWL
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-21Leeds United 0–0 Brentford
- 2025-12-14Brentford 1–1 Leeds United
- 2023-01-22Leeds United 0–0 Brentford
- 2022-09-03Brentford 5–2 Leeds United
- 2022-05-22Brentford 1–2 Leeds United
Match analysis
Leeds United are narrow favourites at 38% — this one is far from decided.
Recent form for Leeds United: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat across the last 5.
Brentford bring 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 1 Leeds United wins, 3 draws, 1 for Brentford.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 54%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leeds United vs Brentford?
Our model's most likely outcome is Leeds United win, with probabilities of 38% for a Leeds United win, 27% for a draw and 35% for an Brentford win.
Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Brentford?
The model puts both teams scoring at 59% — more likely than not.
When does Leeds United vs Brentford kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-30 · 13:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
