Best picks
Over 1.5 goals
Le Havre or Brest
BTTS: Yes
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
1 Le Havre@ 2.60
Model +2 vs market
X Draw@ 3.25
Model −1 vs market
2 Brest@ 2.70
Model −1 vs market
Market bars are the fair probabilities implied by the odds (bookmaker margin removed); differences are percentage points. A higher model number is our model's opinion, not guaranteed value. Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-09-04. Informational only, not betting advice.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins72%
Le Havre or draw66%
Draw or Brest62%
Goal lines
Over 1.575%
Over 2.549%
Over 3.527%
Under: 1.5 25% · 2.5 51% · 3.5 73%
Both teams to score
Yes54%
No46%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Le Havre | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| 15th | Position | 11th |
| 1 | Points | 2 |
| 0.5 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 17th | Attack rank | 11th |
| 10th | Defence rank | 17th |
| 1457 | Elo | 1498 |
| €76m | Squad value | €95m |
| 5 | Form pts (last 5) | 3 |
Longer bars are better within the Ligue 1 this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 6
Recent form · last 10
Le Havre9 / 30 pts
Brest5 / 30 pts
- DBrest2–2Toulouse
- D
Le Mans2–2Brest - DBrest1–1Angers SCO
- LBrest1–2Strasbourg
- L
PSG1–0Brest - L
Paris FC4–0Brest - DBrest3–3RC Lens
- D
FC Nantes1–1Brest - LBrest3–4Stade Rennais
- L
Auxerre3–0Brest
Ligue 1 standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 4 |  Olympique Lyon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 |  Troyes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | RC Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers SCO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | PSG | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Le Mans | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 |  Lorient | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Toulouse | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 |  Nice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Model verdict
A close call: Le Havre edge it at 38%, with plenty of draw risk at 28%. Le Havre arrive with 1 win, 6 draws, 3 defeats from their last 10. For Brest it reads 5 draws, 5 defeats over the last 10. At home Le Havre have won 0 of their last 4; Brest have taken 2 of 15 points on their travels. The last 6 head-to-heads: 1 Le Havre wins, 0 draws, 5 for Brest. The fixture has produced 1.7 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 1 of the last 6. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 49%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Le Havre vs Brest?
Our model's most likely outcome is Le Havre win, with probabilities of 38% for a Le Havre win, 28% for a draw and 34% for an Brest win.
Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Brest?
The model puts both teams scoring at 54% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Le Havre vs Brest?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Le Havre or draw 66%, draw or Brest 62%, and either side to win 72%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Le Havre vs Brest kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-05 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Le Havre vs Brest being played?
The match is scheduled for Stade Océane, the home ground of Le Havre.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.