Ligue 1 · Matchday 1 ·

Le HavrevsMonaco

Our prediction

Monaco winLow confidence

Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16

Goals markets

Over / Under 2.5

55% Over · 45% Under

Both teams to score

58% Yes · 42% No

Team comparison

Le Havre vs Monaco: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
Le HavreMonaco
15thPosition16th
0Points0
0.0Goals / game0.0
17thAttack rank3rd
14thDefence rank12th
1458Elo1611
6Form pts (last 5)5

Longer bars are better within the Ligue 1 this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.

Recent form

Le HavreWLDDD

MonacoLLWDD

Head-to-head

  • 2026-01-24Le Havre 00 Monaco
  • 2025-08-16Monaco 31 Le Havre
  • 2025-04-26Le Havre 11 Monaco
  • 2024-09-22Monaco 31 Le Havre
  • 2024-02-04Monaco 11 Le Havre

Match analysis

Monaco are narrow favourites at 43% — this one is far from decided.

Recent form for Le Havre: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat across the last 5.

Monaco bring 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.

The last 5 head-to-heads: 0 Le Havre wins, 3 draws, 2 for Monaco.

Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 55%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Le Havre vs Monaco?

Our model's most likely outcome is Monaco win, with probabilities of 31% for a Le Havre win, 26% for a draw and 43% for an Monaco win.

Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Monaco?

The model puts both teams scoring at 58% — more likely than not.

When does Le Havre vs Monaco kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-23 · 15:15 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.