Le Mansvs
Brest
Our prediction
Le Mans winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
55% Over · 45% Under
Both teams to score
58% Yes · 42% No
Team comparison
| Brest | ||
|---|---|---|
| 5th | Position | 6th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 11th | Attack rank | 12th |
| 10th | Defence rank | 18th |
| 1500 | Elo | 1497 |
Longer bars are better within the Ligue 1 this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
BrestDLLLD
Match analysis
The model gives Le Mans a slim edge at 46% in a tight matchup.
For Brest it reads 2 draws, 3 defeats over the last 5.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 55%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Le Mans vs Brest?
Our model's most likely outcome is Le Mans win, with probabilities of 46% for a Le Mans win, 25% for a draw and 29% for an Brest win.
Will both teams score in Le Mans vs Brest?
The model puts both teams scoring at 58% — more likely than not.
When does Le Mans vs Brest kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.