PSGvs
Stade Rennais
Our prediction
PSG winHigh confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
66% Over · 34% Under
Both teams to score
62% Yes · 38% No
Team comparison
| PSG | Stade Rennais | |
|---|---|---|
| 17th | Position | 18th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 1st | Attack rank | 5th |
| 1st | Defence rank | 11th |
| 1801 | Elo | 1614 |
| 10 | Form pts (last 5) | 9 |
Longer bars are better within the Ligue 1 this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
PSGLWWDW
Stade RennaisLWLWW
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-13Stade Rennais 3–1 PSG
- 2025-12-06PSG 5–0 Stade Rennais
- 2025-03-08Stade Rennais 1–4 PSG
- 2024-09-27PSG 3–1 Stade Rennais
- 2024-02-25PSG 1–1 Stade Rennais
Match analysis
PSG go in as the model's favourite with a 62% win probability.
PSG arrive with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat from their last 5.
For Stade Rennais it reads 3 wins, 2 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 3 PSG wins, 1 draws, 1 for Stade Rennais.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 66%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win PSG vs Stade Rennais?
Our model's most likely outcome is PSG win, with probabilities of 62% for a PSG win, 20% for a draw and 18% for an Stade Rennais win.
Will both teams score in PSG vs Stade Rennais?
The model puts both teams scoring at 62% — more likely than not.
When does PSG vs Stade Rennais kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-23 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
