Brestvs
Toulouse
Our prediction
Brest winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
52% Over · 48% Under
Both teams to score
57% Yes · 43% No
Team comparison
| Brest | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| 6th | Position | 11th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 12th | Attack rank | 13th |
| 18th | Defence rank | 6th |
| 1497 | Elo | 1537 |
| 2 | Form pts (last 5) | 8 |
Longer bars are better within the Ligue 1 this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-25Brest 0–2 Toulouse
- 2025-08-24Toulouse 2–0 Brest
- 2025-03-30Toulouse 2–4 Brest
- 2024-09-22Brest 2–0 Toulouse
- 2024-05-19Toulouse 0–3 Brest
Match analysis
The model gives Brest a slim edge at 39% in a tight matchup.
Brest arrive with 2 draws, 3 defeats from their last 5.
For Toulouse it reads 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 3 Brest wins, 0 draws, 2 for Toulouse.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 52%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Brest vs Toulouse?
Our model's most likely outcome is Brest win, with probabilities of 39% for a Brest win, 27% for a draw and 34% for an Toulouse win.
Will both teams score in Brest vs Toulouse?
The model puts both teams scoring at 57% — more likely than not.
When does Brest vs Toulouse kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
