Best picks
Den Haag or Sittard
BTTS: Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
1 Den Haag@ 2.08
Model −3 vs market
X Draw@ 3.90
Model +1 vs market
2 Sittard@ 3.10
Model +2 vs market
Market bars are the fair probabilities implied by the odds (bookmaker margin removed); differences are percentage points. A higher model number is our model's opinion, not guaranteed value. Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-09-04. Informational only, not betting advice.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins75%
Den Haag or draw67%
Draw or Sittard58%
Goal lines
Over 1.583%
Over 2.561%
Over 3.539%
Under: 1.5 17% · 2.5 39% · 3.5 61%
Both teams to score
Yes64%
No36%
Most likely score
1–1at 12%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Den Haag | Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Position | 6th |
| 1 | Points | 7 |
| 1.0 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 13th | Attack rank | 14th |
| 16th | Defence rank | 14th |
| 1469 | Elo | 1465 |
| €5m | Squad value | €21m |
| 1 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Recent form · last 10
Eredivisie standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  PSV | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 10 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 |  Ajax | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 |
| 5 |  Go Ahead | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 | Sittard | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 |  NEC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 |  Excelsior | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Twente | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Heerenveen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Sparta | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 |  Zwolle | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 |  Telstar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 |  Willem II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 16 | Den Haag | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 17 |  Utrecht | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 1 |
| 18 |  Cambuur | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -12 | 0 |
Model verdict
A close call: Den Haag edge it at 42%, with plenty of draw risk at 25%. Den Haag arrive with 1 draw, 3 defeats from their last 4. For Sittard it reads 3 wins, 2 draws, 5 defeats over the last 10. Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 61%. The model expects both defences to be breached: BTTS Yes at 64%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Den Haag vs Sittard?
Our model's most likely outcome is Den Haag win, with probabilities of 42% for a Den Haag win, 25% for a draw and 33% for an Sittard win.
Will both teams score in Den Haag vs Sittard?
The model puts both teams scoring at 64% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Den Haag vs Sittard?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Den Haag or draw 67%, draw or Sittard 58%, and either side to win 75%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Den Haag vs Sittard kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-06 · 14:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Den Haag vs Sittard being played?
The match is scheduled for Cars Jeans Stadion, the home ground of Den Haag.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.